THE RAPTURE SIGNAL™ is a daily reading of how loudly the world's news is running on the signs the Bible names, measured against a fixed 2024 anchor of 100. This page is the full derivation: what is collected, how long the record runs, the exact computation, and how a stranger can check every claim. Nothing on this page is a forecast, and no probability of any prophetic event is computed anywhere in the system.
One diagram, the whole system: where the data comes from, where it is aggregated, and how the number is compiled. Every step runs by script; a person starts the scripts and ships the result. The only human hands in the system write the wire. They never touch the Signal.
The Signal. Each of the nine areas is measured as its share of the day's press corpus, indexed so that 100 equals its own average across 2024, then averaged across the nine and smoothed on a trailing 13-week window. THE RAPTURE SIGNAL™ is that smoothed average, computed to one decimal and sampled daily: each morning's reading takes the same instrument over the trailing 91 days of usable data, a construction arithmetically identical to the weekly value at every week boundary. That identity is tested before every publish, and the number does not ship on a day the test fails. 100 is the 2024 anchor, not a ceiling and not a score out of 100. A reading of 150 means press volume on these nine signs is running 50 percent above where it ran in 2024. The anchor year is arbitrary; it is where the record begins, and a different anchor would give different numbers.
Why the rank is not the headline. Until 11 August 2026 the headline was the reading's percentile rank within the record. That number had gone dead: the record has sat at its own highs for months, one rank step is 1/130 of a point, and across 120 days the rank took six distinct values and read exactly 100.0 on 78 of them while the underlying reading swung from 137.4 to 158.9. A number that cannot move cannot inform, and a daily number that does not move is worse than a weekly one. The rank is still published, as a gauge beneath the headline, where a saturated statistic is honest context rather than a dead lead. It also still governs the colour rule, which was always rank language: red only at record highs and strengthening.
Three limits publish with the number. Daily sampling does not lengthen the record, which remains about two and a half years. Consecutive readings share 90 of their 91 days, so they are never counted as independent observations. And the number always carries the date its data actually reaches: a stale collection lane marks the reading PROVISIONAL rather than letting an old number wear today's date. The Signal never appears without its band word or a plain comparative sentence.
Beneath the number. The Birth Pains Monitor reads the same series three ways, all published: velocity and acceleration (first and second 4-week differences: ACCELERATING above +2, EASING below −2, STEADY between), and synchrony (mean pairwise correlation of week-over-week changes across the trailing 26 weeks: below 0.15 the signs move independently, above 0.40 they are locking).
Color is formulaic. Red requires the record at highs AND accelerating. Amber requires highs with acceleration merely positive. Everything else, including record highs that are easing, renders in plain ink. An editor cannot set the color.
The Tempo. The same calculation across all nine areas at once, indexed so 100 equals the previous 13 weeks of aggregate volume. It counts column inches. It does not count meaning.
Nobody has to trust us. Every reading is downloadable, license CC-BY-4.0, attribution "Rapture Radar™ (raptureradar.com)":
The corrections run on the record at /corrections, with a standing policy. Sourcing rules are published at /sources. The full instrument methodology, with every disclosure, lives on THE RADAR.
We don't measure when Christ will return. We measure what He told us to watch. The Signal records news intensity in the areas believers are told to watch. It does not measure, estimate, or predict proximity to the fulfillment of any prophecy. No one knows the day or the hour. We watch. We do not predict.
no probability of any prophetic event is computed here, and none ever will be
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